In recent years, prediction markets have captured the attention of investors, traders, and data enthusiasts around the world. Platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi have made it possible for everyday users to profit by predicting real-world outcomes — from political elections and economic data releases to sports and global trends. If you’re curious about how to get started, this beginner’s guide will walk you through everything you need to know about investing on Polymarket and Kalshi.

A prediction market is a platform that allows users to buy and sell shares based on the outcomes of future events. For example, you might see a market asking, “Will the U.S. inflation rate fall below 3% this year?” You can invest by buying “Yes” or “No” shares. If your prediction is correct, you earn profits when the market settles.
Prediction markets serve as both investment opportunities and information tools — since the market prices reflect the collective wisdom of thousands of participants.
Two of the most popular platforms today are Polymarket and Kalshi, each offering a unique approach to event-based investing.
Polymarket is a decentralized prediction market built on blockchain technology. It allows users to trade on real-world events using the stablecoin USDC (USD Coin). The platform operates globally, offering a wide variety of markets — from politics and technology to sports and current events.
To start investing on Polymarket, you’ll need a crypto wallet compatible with Ethereum-based applications. Popular options include:
After creating your wallet, you’ll need to add USDC (USD Coin), which is the currency used for trading on Polymarket.
Once your wallet is set up, deposit USDC through a crypto exchange like Coinbase, Binance, or Kraken. Then transfer the funds from your exchange wallet to your Polymarket wallet address.
Visit https://happycoin.club/en/kak-sorvat-kush-na-kriptovalyutnyh-rynkah-prognozov/ and click “Connect Wallet.” Approve the connection, and you’re ready to start trading.
Browse through active markets such as:
Each market has a “Yes” or “No” price, usually between $0.01 and $0.99. The closer a price is to $1, the more likely traders believe that event will happen.
Once you decide, buy “Yes” or “No” shares depending on your prediction. If your chosen outcome happens, your shares are worth $1 each. If not, they’re worth $0.
You can sell your shares anytime before the event concludes, potentially earning profits as the market price changes.
If you profit, you can withdraw your USDC directly to your wallet or exchange it for fiat currency through your preferred crypto exchange.
Tip: Always start small and diversify your bets across multiple markets to reduce risk.
Kalshi is a U.S.-regulated prediction market approved by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). It allows users to invest in the outcomes of real-world events using U.S. dollars instead of cryptocurrency.
Unlike Polymarket, Kalshi operates as a Designated Contract Market (DCM) — similar to a traditional exchange. This means your trades are legally recognized and compliant with U.S. regulations.
Go to https://happycoin.club/en/kak-sorvat-kush-na-kriptovalyutnyh-rynkah-prognozov/ and click “Sign Up.” You’ll need to provide your email, ID verification, and banking information, as required for regulated trading platforms.
Once verified, deposit U.S. dollars directly into your Kalshi account using your bank. There’s no need for crypto wallets or tokens — everything is handled in fiat.
Kalshi focuses on professional and data-driven markets such as:
Each market offers a “Yes” or “No” contract priced between $0.01 and $0.99.
If you believe an event will happen, buy “Yes” contracts. If not, buy “No.” For example, if you buy a $0.40 “Yes” contract and the event occurs, you’ll earn $1 — a 60% profit.
Kalshi’s interface is clean and beginner-friendly, showing your potential profit and loss before confirming each trade.
You can monitor your open contracts from your dashboard. Kalshi provides real-time updates, making it easy to adjust your positions or sell early to lock in profits.
When a market settles, Kalshi automatically credits your account with any profits. You can withdraw funds to your linked bank account at any time.
| Feature | Polymarket | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|
| Currency | USDC (Crypto) | USD (Fiat) |
| Regulation | Decentralized, unregulated | Regulated by CFTC |
| Ease of Setup | Requires crypto wallet | Simple sign-up and bank transfer |
| Accessibility | Global (except restricted areas) | U.S. residents only |
| Market Variety | Politics, sports, global events | Economics, policy, weather |
| Risk Level | Moderate to High (crypto exposure) | Low to Moderate (regulated) |
For most beginners, Kalshi offers a smoother start since it uses fiat currency and requires no crypto knowledge. However, if you’re familiar with blockchain and prefer a wider range of topics, Polymarket offers more exciting and diverse opportunities.
Both Polymarket and Kalshi are reshaping how people think about investments. Instead of buying stocks or crypto, you’re investing in knowledge — your ability to predict future events.
Either way, both platforms provide unique opportunities to grow your wealth through smart event-based investing.